Wibbels and Arce: Globalization, Taxation, and Burden-Shifting in Latin America

Wibbels, E, and M Arce. 2003. Globalization, Taxation, and Burden-Shifting in Latin America. International Organization 57, no. 01: 111-136.

This paper explores the relationship of taxation policy in Latin America and the possible effects of globalization. "The question becomes: If capital flows and deregulation cause burden-shifting, are governments that reform tax systems rewarded with greater flows? We hypothesize that capital flows do respond to tax policy, but that markets evaluate tax systems as a whole, not just capital's burden of taxation"

The rosy assessment of tax policies that come out of Europe cannot be generalized to the rest of the world. Short-term capital needs require clear signals of country intention to be generated. This having been said, it is not entirely a dire situation for all developing countries, and there is still national room for movement and adjustment.

"In sum, globalization seems to bring a mixed bag for policymakers; it brings a broad set of constraints onto the outlines of policy but provides room for policy choices therein. The most direct evidence of this flexibility is the fact that longer-term markets seem to be less interested in the relative share of taxes paid by capital than in how market friendly tax systems are as a whole. While net capital flows have not rewarded shifts to increase the burden of taxation on labor, these flows have rewarded market-oriented reforms of tax systems. Thus, national policy-makers can attract capital by streamlining tax codes, eliminating distortionary taxes on trade, or increasing the efficiency of existing taxes, rather than contributing to ongoing trends in inequality by eliminating progressive components of tax codes" (131-2).