Thursday, June 11, 2009

Clemens: Complexity Theory as a Tool for Understanding and Coping with Ethnic Conflict and Development Issues in Post-Soviet Eurasia

Clemens, WC. 2002. Complexity Theory as a Tool for Understanding and Coping with Ethnic Conflict and Development Issues in Post-Soviet Eurasia. International Journal of Peace Studies 7, no. 2: 1-16.

This piece uses complexity theory to explore why some central Asian transitioned away from the USSR more peacefully than others. The focus of analysis is on the concept of "fitness".
"Complexity theory is anchored in nine basic concepts: fitness, coevolution, emergence, agent-based systems, self-organization, self-organized criticality, punctuated equilibrium, and fitness landscapes (Lewin, 1992; Kauffman, 1993, 1995, 2000; Axelrod, 1997; Axelrod and Cohen, 1999; Lewin and Regine, 2000; Richards, 2000)" (3).
Fitness, as a concept drawn from complexity theory, emphasizes how the organizational structure of a system determines its ability to cope with change. Organizational structures can vary from very chaotic to very hierarchically ordered. Fit systems are those that fall between chaos and rigidity.